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In this Weekly Dispatch: South West REZ tenders have received a lot of interest – bids total 15GW of renewable energy. A Power surge in Perth leaves residents without power and broken appliances. Scientists uncovered that the collapse of a…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Six batteries have been announced in Victoria and South Australia under the Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS). The UK awards contracts for difference (CfDs) to 9.6GW of renewables including offshore wind and tidal stream projects. Volvo eases…

In this Weekly Dispatch: AEMO released the 2024 Electricity Statement of Opportunities, documenting that projected demand has decreased, reducing some reliability risks. Energy Consumers Australia has criticised time-of-use tariffs. VNI West gets funding for early works from the CEFC Rewiring…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Snowy Hydro buys another boring machine. The NSW government releases new climate projections. Transgrid released its annual transmission planning report. A study in Canberra showed that reducing the brightness of streetlights by half can reduce carbon…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The AEMC proposes requirements for retailers to offer a flat tariff option. AEMO released the NEM and SWIS engineering roadmap. The final report into the WA Domestic Gas Policy Inquiry has been released. AGL is set…

In this Weekly Dispatch: New Zealand is facing an energy shortage with the government considering importing LNG. Energy Networks Australia and LEK have released a paper on empowering distribution networks featuring Endgame’s modelling. California is experiencing a battery boom. EPA…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The BoM issues a snow warning for northern NSW amid winter cold snap. Off the back of the cold snap, both Queensland and Victoria record new record high winter maximum operational demands. Fortescue cuts 700 jobs,…

In this Weekly Dispatch: An industrial dispute between Transgrid and the Electrical Trades Union is reported to be preventing new generation from being connected to the grid, and causing existing generation to be left offline. An unplanned outage due to…

In this Weekly Dispatch: (At time of writing, it appears that) Labour have won power in the UK general election, promising to ‘make Britain a clean energy superpower. Read their energy plan here. Marine Le Pen’s far-right National Rally party…

In this Weekly Dispatch: AEMO releases the final 2024 Integrated System Plan (ISP) showing more benefits but also discussing the risks to the transition. The Federal Government approves plans to build more gas wells in southern Queensland. The Reliability Panel…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Coalition says they will impose a cap on renewable energy investment and ditch the 2030 target. They’ve also announced a nuclear energy plan with seven potential sites. AEMO issues notice of east cost gas shortfall…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Clean Energy Regulator suspends registered agent, Greenbot, for creating certificates that did not meet requirements. Snowy Hydro suspends their cloud seeding program. Wind wars on Four Corners. The Energy Information Administration releases the US short term…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Victoria approves the first gas project in 10 years. The Clean Energy Council produced a report on the future of long-duration energy storage featuring our modelling. If you would like to learn more contact info@endgame-economics.com. The…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Snowy Hydro updates its business case for Snowy 2.0 showing increased benefits. The BOM forecasts a very warm winter for Australia, could this be a sign of climate change? The Department of Climate Change, Energy, the…

In this Weekly Dispatch: AEMO released an update to the ESOO, modelling significant reliability risks for NSW, VIC and SA. The NSW government announces a 2-year extension to Eraring Power Station. Florence – the tunnel boring machine for Snowy 2.0…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Federal Budget included funding for the transition to net zero including funding for the Future Made in Australia Innovation fund and incentives for green hydrogen. France has announced the winners of the first commercial-scale floating…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Federal Government has released its future gas strategy outlining the role gas will play in the energy transition and outlining options for meeting projected shortfalls. AEMO Services has published a market brief on Tender 1…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Grattan Institute has published a report on NEM reliability. The Queensland Government has announced a $1,000 electricity bill credit to all households from 1 July. Greg Williams of ARENA writes on the unique history of…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Commonwealth and NSW governments have announced a tender for 6 GW of renewable capacity with at least 2.2 GW in NSW. AEMO Services announced that the 1 GW LDS LTESA tender will open next month.…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Last week saw a stretch of very low wind across the NEM. David Osmond notes that it’s the lowest wind output in the renewable NEM simulation to date. El Nino has ended. The QLD opposition has…

In this Weekly Dispatch: CSIRO has conducted a survey of Australian attitudes to the energy transition. ZEN Energy has proposed a 1 GW/8 GWh pumped hydro project upstream of the Warragamba Dam. Alinta CEO Jeff Dimery says that the energy…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Ministers have published the methodology for calculating the Value of Emissions Reduction as an average of the escalated ACCU price and IPCC abatement figures. The resulting interim values range increase from $70/tonne in 2024 to $420/tonne…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Queensland Government has released the Renewable Energy Zone Roadmap. It aims to support 22 GW of new renewable capacity in up to 12 REZs across Queensland. The Federal Government has announced $1 billion investment for…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Draft DMO determination shows (real) reductions in the DMO across all regions after 2 years of sharp increases. The 2024 GSOO shows risks of gas supply shortfalls arising on extreme peak demand days from winter…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The CEC published Clean Energy Australia 2024. The report notes record financial commitments for storage in 2023 but finds that utility-scale renewables are being deployed at about half the required rate to meet targets. The Electric…

In this weekly dispatch, it lands on International Women’s Day so we will celebrate by talking to some of the Women at Endgame.   Introduce yourself and role at Endgame: Olivia Filipe Hi! I’m Olivia and I’m a graduate analyst…

In this Weekly Dispatch: South Australia brings forward its renewable target to net 100% renewables by 2027 Minns announces $275 million in clean energy grants for manufacturers The AEMC released draft rules that will allow large consumers to have separately…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The ABC provides an update on Snowy 2.0. Rio Tinto has signed Australia’s largest PPA agreement to power its Gladstone assets. Over at WattClarity, Allan O’Neil gets into the weeds of dispatch during the loss of…

In this Weekly Dispatch: AEMO has released a preliminary report into the trip at Moorabool during a storm which left 500,000 customers in Victoria without power. CS Energy releases technical report into the Callide explosion in 2021. They also provide…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Energy Ministers have released an Energy Security Board report on integrating customer energy resources into the NEM. The AER is taking action against Callide Power Trading in relation to the explosion at Callide C in 2021.…

In this Weekly Dispatch: EnergyAustralia has confirmed a $1 billion write down with lower retail margins and higher cost of capital. The latest ACCC inquiry found retailer margins at just 2.3%. Le Chatelier’s principle. Lynne Kiesling writes an excellent defence…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Queensland set a record peak demand on Monday, breaking the previous record by 875 MW. The latest AEMO QED finds lower wholesale prices and record renewable production. The report also discusses the growing north-south split in…

In this Weekly Dispatch: Kalgoorlie experienced widespread power outages following a freak storm. The Queensland Government has announced support for 12 community batteries. A visualisation of nodal prices across the US during the winter storm. How consumers can be incentivised…

In this Weekly Dispatch: The Commonwealth Government has not approved plans by the Victorian Government to build a terminal to support offshore wind construction due to concerns around the impact on wetlands. The Victorian Premier said that steps can be…

In this Weekly Dispatch: AEMO Services Tender 3 results have been announced including wind, solar PV, BESS and compressed air storage. The CSIRO has released the consultation draft of GenCost 2023-24. AEMO Services has published the 2023 Infrastructure Investment Objectives…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO has released the Draft 2024 ISP. The NSW Government has released a consult paper on the Orderly Exit Management Framework to delay coal and gas exits. The preferred contracting model for coal…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The NSW Climate Change Bill passes parliament. The enshrines NSW emissions targets in legislation: 50% reduction by 2030; 70% by 2035 and net zero by 2050. The AER published its annual retail markets…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The Victorian government has announced support for a 600 MW/1,600 MWh battery through the SEC. The CEC published the Q3 2023 Renewable Energy Quarterly report showing that only 120 MW of VRE reached…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The Commonwealth Government has announced an expansion of the Capacity Investment Scheme (CIS) to 23 GW of VRE and 9 GW of zero-emission dispatchable plant by 2030. They will work with state governments…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO issued a direction in NSW to maintain power system security for the first time according to WattClarity. This is likely to become more frequent with increasing VRE and decommitment of thermal units…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: Gridcog looks at the first month of the Very Fast FCAS markets. Dan Lee at WattClarity looks at wind farm capacity factors. OpenNEM has new functionality including a time-of-day view. A summary of…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO Services Tender 4 will not include Central-West Orana REZ Access Rights as originally planned. These rights are planned to be made available “as soon as possible”. South Australia averaged 87% renewables in…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: South Australia’s Hydrogen Jobs Plan will support 250 MW of electrolysers and 100% hydrogen-fuelled turbines. The Victorian government has released the SECV’s strategic plan. AEMO published the latest QED showing a number of…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The High Court has found the Victorian road-user tax that applied to EVs to be unconstitutional. The ruling means that other states may be unable to implement similar charges. The CEFC has confirmed…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: .The NSW Government is set to legislate a 2030 target of 50% emissions and a target for net zero by 2050. The legislation will also establish a Net Zero Commission to monitor and…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The AER has published the 2023 State of the Energy Market The report highlights a number of challenges including an increase in retail prices, system security and reliability risks and transmission delays. Minimum…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The Prime Minister has hinted at new policy commitments to accelerate the transition in the Guardian Politics podcast. The episode should air tomorrow. It has been 7 years since the state-wide blackout in…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The South Australian Parliament has passed the Emissions Reduction Objectives Bill. The AEMC has published a guide on the approach they will take when applying the new objectives. They have also published the…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The AEMC has published a draft rule to change the reliability settings. The MPC is set to be progressively increased to $22,800/MWh (in 2022 dollars) and the CPT to 8.5 hours of MPC…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The NSW Government releases the reliability Check Up. The government has accepted most recommendations including to engage Origin around the possibility of extending Eraring beyond 2025. ESIG releases a white paper on aligning…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO’s 2023 ESOO projects significant reliability risks, particularly in NSW and Victoria if investment in new capacity is not forthcoming. The AEMC published the final report for the metering review setting a 100%…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The Victorian Government has signed an agreement with AGL to keep Loy Yang A available until 2035 (around 5 years later than the 2022 ISP Step Change scenario). Meanwhile, the reliability check up…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO has released the WEM ESOO indicating a need for investment in capacity to meet the WEM reliability standard. The WA government has announced a 6 month delay to the Muja 6 coal…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO has released the 2023 Transmission Expansion Options Report for the 2024 ISP showing a significant increase in transmission cost estimates since the 2022 ISP. ARENA has published a report outlining the opportunities…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: DCCEEW has released a consultation paper on the Capacity Investment Scheme. The AEMC is proposing an alternative to the operating reserve mechanism by requiring extra information on storage state of charge and introducing…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: There have been a number of developments regarding emissions in the NEO that are well summarised in this AEMC consultation note: The Emissions Reduction Objectives Bill will introduce an emissions objective into the…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: Energy Ministers have submitted a suite of rule changes to harmonise the national energy rules with the emissions reduction component to be included in the energy objectives. AEMO has released its priority action…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The Commonwealth Government has declared a new offshore wind zone 20km off the Hunter coast. The zone will host up to 5 GW of capacity. Greater sea depths mean that floating turbines will…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The Energy and Climate Change Ministerial Council meeting communique noted the recently released National Hydrogen Strategy consultation and support for the Guarantee of Origin scheme (funded in the 2023-24 Budget). Ministers also agreed…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: Commonwealth funding announced to expand NSW’s firming tender for new dispatchable renewable capacity by up to 550 MW, with the aim to eliminate AEMO’s forecast supply shortfall in FY 2029. The Energy Institute…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: Gas spot prices have been above $12/GJ since 28 March and have averaged $17/GJ so far in May. Energy Policy WA has released a consultation paper proposing significant reforms to the Reserve Capacity…

Every 5 minutes, AEMO will dispatch generators across the National Electricity Market (NEM) in order to meet demand. To achieve this, AEMO needs to predict what demand will look like 5 minutes in the future.     Currently, AEMO uses…

Note: This article was first featured on WattClarity.  As the NEM transitions to a generation mix increasingly made up of wind and solar it is becoming increasingly important to understand the impact of constraints on dispatch. The NEM dispatch engine…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: The 2023-24 Federal Budget includes measures that focus on: Funding for auctions for the Capacity Investment Scheme in South Australia, Victoria and NSW (in partnership with the Roadmap) later this year; Growing the…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: AEMO Services has announced the successful projects from their first competitive tender with contracts awarded for 1,120 MW of solar PV, 275 MW of wind generation and a 50 MW 8-hour battery. Energy…

In this edition of the Weekly Dispatch: Ocean surface temperatures hit new records and the Bureau of Meteorology’s latest model run suggests El Niño is increasingly likely later this year. Lynne Kiesling writes how a misdiagnosis of the 2021 ERCOT…

The Weekly Dispatch is a new blog post series summarising the latest developments in the Australian and global energy markets. With so much happening across the sector we want to provide a quick digest of developments we come across during…

The second quarter of this year has witnessed a series of high price events in Queensland. These price spikes have been profoundly influenced by the dynamics associated with 5-minute dispatch, 30-minute settlement (hereafter ‘5/30’). The second quarter of this year has witnessed a series of high price events in Queensland. These price spikes have been profoundly influenced by the dynamics associated with 5-minute dispatch, 30-minute settlement (hereafter ‘5/30’).

Since the release of Dr Finkel’s review, the term ‘dispatchable generation’ has been appearing more and more across the NEM. The term does not yet have a clear definition, but seems to be used to refer to generating units whose short-term availability is largely determined by the operator (as opposed to the weather). Dispatchable generation therefore seems to encompass all generation except for wind, solar, and run-of-river hydro. Despite extensive discussion about the need for dispatchable generation, there has been little analysis of the demand for it. Against this backdrop, this week we look at the historical demand for dispatchable generation in the region of South Australia.

Following the announcement of the National Energy Guarantee, the sector has been awash with speculation about the specifics of this major new policy. Doubtless the NEG will continue to be the centre of much focus for weeks and months to come, and so we shall turn to this in future issues. Instead, this week we respond to a request from one of our readers to take a look at frequency control ancillary services (FCAS) costs. FCAS costs have often been dismissed as ‘small potatoes’ in the scheme of electricity supply, but have risen substantially in recent years. We examine this trend in this week’s charts.

For the last couple of weeks, the energy industry has been dominated by discussions about the long foreshadowed closure of Liddell. There has been a great deal of focus on the consequences of the closure during times of high demand. Amidst all the focus on highdemand, South Australia has been experiencing amazingly low levels of demand in recent weeks. Given that unusually low demand is unlikely to make the headlines, this week we thought we would make it our focus by examining the recent minimum demand outcomes in South Australia and Victoria.